Forrest City, Arkansas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

593
FXUS64 KMEG 191103
AFDMEG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
603 AM CDT Thu Mar 19 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 603 AM CDT Thu Mar 19 2026

- A warming trend will bring near-record high temperatures in the
  mid 80s this weekend.

- Dry weather will continue into the upcoming weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(Tonight through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1049 PM CDT Wed Mar 18 2026

All is mostly calm this evening with temperatures comfortably
sitting in the mid 50s. Another mostly sunny and warm day is on
tap for Thursday as a weak warm front lifts through the region.
Though we are currently in very steep northwest flow aloft, this
upper level pattern will begin to deamplify through the weekend
after the deep longwave trough exits off to the Atlantic Coast.
As the upper level pattern becomes more zonal, each day will get
progressively warmer through Sunday with the sole influence of
WAA along southerly flow at the surface. No PoPs are in sight for
the rest of this week; a nondescript surface pattern gives way to
very little support for any precip.

One of the only noteworthy features in this pattern is a nearly E-
W oriented cold front that will sag through the Mid-South late
Sunday evening. Temperatures soar above record territory (mid
80s) on the warm side of this boundary Sunday afternoon for
almost all of our climate sites. After a record-breakingly warm
day, the aforementioned cold front is expected to complete its
passage by Monday morning. Long range ensembles suggest very
little moisture available ahead of the front. Meager PWAT values
on the order of 0.8 inches per the LREF support nothing more than
a couple showers during FROPA. As such, PoPs stay at or below 10%
through this entire 7-day forecast period. This FROPA will very
briefly send temperatures back to near normal on Monday, but
another warmup is on the horizon midweek as quasi-zonal flow
aloft returns.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 603 AM CDT Thu Mar 19 2026

VFR conditions will continue through the TAF period, with
generally SW/S winds. Wind speeds will pick up to around 7 kts
through the daytime, before falling back below 5 kts overnight.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1049 PM CDT Wed Mar 18 2026

Dry and progressively warmer conditions will be the main story
through the weekend. Continued weak moisture advection along
southerly flow will raise minimum relative humidity values well
above 30% Thursday with most areas expected to be between 40% and
50% through at least Friday as this moisture transport continues.

&&


.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$

PUBLIC FORECAST...CAD
AVIATION...CMA